SignalMacro

CBOE Crude Oil Volatility $46.22 ↓ 1.3% 12th %ile (complacency) • KXWTI 8.5% — $117 or above

Kalshi: KXWTI 8.5% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026?

What changed

Kalshi: KXWTI 8.5% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026? Percentile: 12th in 90d range | Regime: complacency

Why it matters

Crude volatility at 12th percentile signals complacency, while KXWTI 8.5% prices a $117+ settle by Nov 2026.

Sources

futures